India vs Afghanistan is going to be a super exciting clash as these two sides have played brilliant cricket so far. India have had a long break after win over USA as their next match vs Canada got washed out. The dynamics in the Super 8s are going to be slightly different as there will be more travel for the teams and the games will be played more regularly. This will be a small challenge
for some of the teams.
When I look at how India have played in this tournament, I have been very impressed with their bowling. While their batting has not fired yet in the World Cup, their bowling has done enough to win them key games. Unfavorable conditions for batting are a huge reason why India and other sides have also struggled as batting units. At the same time, India must be pleased that Suryakumar Yadav got some runs as well as Shivam Dube against USA.
I am very impressed with Rohit Sharma’s captaincy in the World Cup. He has used the bowlers brilliantly, especially Axar Patel. He used Axar on pitches which were more conducive to hitting the surface hard. Axar used the turn, grip and the pace of the pitch to his advantage. Rohit opting for Axar instead of Jadeja was a really smart move.
That brings me to Kuldeep Yadav and I wonder how he can be used in the remaining part of the tournament. I would like to see him play vs Afghanistan which means that Mohammed Siraj might have to sit out. I understand that with the pitches that have been presented in India games, the four seam options worked pretty well. India might continue with the same balance as it is tough to predict which XI a team will play without having access to the conditions. But if it is a slow pitch and the boundary sizes are equal then it would be a good idea to play Kuldeep. However, if he plays, Kuldeep must take a lesson from Adil Rashid’s outing against Namibia. Unlike Rashid who bowled too full, Kuldeep must look to bowl into the pitch as a leg-spinner, not bowling too flighted and full as the batters can then hit through the line. It is very important to find the right length that works for him if he plays.
Virat Kohli has been a lookout for a big score as runs have been hard to come for batters in this tournament. An interesting matchup will be between Kohli and Fazalhaq Farooqi, who bowls pretty well to Kohli. Another matchup will be between Rohit vs Rashid Khan. The star Afghan spinner has got a good record against India captain. It will be interesting to see how Afghanistan use these two bowlers. Not to forget, Afghanistan batter Rahmanullah Gurbaz has his weakness against quality leg-spin bowling which may push India to play Kuldeep. India, as I mentioned earlier as well, have plenty of reasons to play Kuldeep against Afghanistan.
How both teams read the conditions will also hold key. Australia had scored 201 in Barbados not so long ago. But it was a small boundary with assistance from wind which made the run-scoring easy. Assessing conditions and taking the right decisions, in terms of balance of the side and the toss, will be crucial.
As far as Afghanistan are concerned, the key element for them going into this game is not so much the team they pick or how they want to play. The key for them to beat India will be their self-belief. Afghanistan have never beaten India in T20Is. Getting over the line for the first time at such a big stage against India is not impossible but they will need a strong mentality to go into the game believing they can beat the Indians.
I was working on the last game Afghanistan played against India, in Bengaluru. They had India on the mat at 22 for 4 but then Rohit played an incredible innings to turn things around and the game was eventually decided in the Super Over. Even without a big player like Rashid missing in that game, they were inches away from beating India.
Afghanistan have in-form players in shape of Farooqi and Gurbaz, the leading wicket taker and run-scorer respectively, but it will be the self-belief which will help them register their first win. They will be hoping that the wicket turns because that will bring in a number of their spin options, their obvious strength. The Afghanistan players have an understanding of the Indian players and vice-versa because of the IPL. Both of these sides know each other’s weakness and strengths because a lot of players have played with or against each other a lot in the T20 league.
Afghanistan’s best chance to win this game is a pretty straightforward one: Farooqi and spinners need to make early inroads and then Rashid and other spinners need to restrict the run-scoring by India in the middle overs. They have the potential to do that. But they need a strong self-belief to overcome the favourites India.
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