Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest Preview

Burnley clashes with Nottingham Forest in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Burnley is coming off a 1-0 home loss against Liverpool on Sunday while Nottingham Forest lost 3-0 on the road against Arsenal on Saturday.

Burnley is in 17th place in the Premier League standings with three points in four games while Nottingham Forest is in 15th place with four points in four games

The player to watch in this game is Chris Wood, who has two goals and zero assists in four Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Chris Wood a 48.42 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 4 SCA and 1 GCA in four Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. 

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• Burnley 3.45
• Nottingham Forest 2.09
• Draw 3.45

Spread 

• Burnley +0.5 (1.72)
• Nottingham Forest -0.5 (2.08)

Total

• Over 2.5 (1.94)
• Under 2.5 (1.82)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 19, 2024 and Nottingham Forest won 2-1.  

Projected Leaders

For Burnley, Jacob Bruun Larsen has a 32.08 percent chance to score. He averages 2.93 shots overall per sim, 1.66 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.

For Nottingham Forest, Chris Wood has a 48.42 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.94 shots overall per sim, 1.13 shots on goal per and 0.68 goals per sim.  

Analyst’s Pick

Nottingham Forest 2.09

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Nottingham Forest in this one. Average score in simulations is Nottingham Forest 1.83 to Burnley 1.08.