Manchester City vs. Leeds United Preview

Manchester City clashes with Leeds United in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 2-1 road loss against Newcastle United on Saturday while Leeds United lost 2-1 against Aston Villa at home on Sunday.

Manchester City is in third place in the Premier League standings with 22 points in 12 games while Leeds United is in 18th place with 11 points in 12 games.

The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 14 goals and one assists in 12 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland a 62.84 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 18 SCA and 3 GCA in 12 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• Manchester City 1.27
• Leeds United 5.80
• Draw 10.00

Spread

• Manchester City -1.5, -2 (1.94)
• Leeds United +1.5, +2 (1.85)

Total

• Over 3 (1.85)
• Under 3 (1.90)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 31, 2024 and Manchester City won 3-1.

Projected Leaders 

For Leeds United, Lukas Nmecha has a 23.24 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.38 shots overall per sim, 0.78 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 62.84 percent chance to score. He averages 4.74 shots overall per sim, 3.01 shots on goal per and 1.01 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City 1.27

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.67 to Leeds United 1.09.