SC Freiburg clashes with Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. SC Freiburg is coming off a 2-1 home loss against 1. FC Union Berlin on Sunday while Borussia Dortmund beat Mainz 3-1 at home on Sunday.
SC Freiburg is in seventh place in the Bundesliga standings with 42 points in 27 games while Borussia Dortmund is in 10th place with 38 points in 27 games.
The player to watch in this game is Sehrou Guirassy, who has 14 goals and one assist in 23 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Sehrou Guirassy a 56.12 percent chance to score against Bayer Leverkusen. He has 39 SCA and 5 GCA in 23 Bundesliga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- SC Freiburg 2.95
- Borussia Dortmund 2.28
- Draw: 3.50
Spread
- SC Freiburg 0, +0.5 (1.83)
- Borussia Dortmund 0, -0.5 (1.98)
Total
- Over 2.5, 3 (1.95)
- Under 2.5, 3 (1.83)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on November 23 and Borussia Dortmund won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For SC Freiburg, Vincenzo Grifo has a 36.28 percent chance to score. He averages 1.63 shots overall per sim, 1.02 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.
For Borussia Dortmund, Sehrou Guirassy has a 56.12 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 5.32 shots overall per sim, 2.7 shots on goal per and 0.83 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Borussia Dortmund 2.28
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Bayer Leverkusen 1.75 to SC Freiburg 1.58.
