St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund Preview

St. Pauli clashes with Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. St. Pauli is coming off a 2-0 road loss against Mainz on Saturday while Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Union Berlin 8-0 at home on Saturday.

St. Pauli is in 15th place in the Bundesliga standings with 21 points in 23 games while Borussia Dortmund is in 10th place with 32 points in 23 games.  

The player to watch in this game is Serhou Guirassy, who has 13 goals and one assist in 20 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Serhou Guirassy a 68.32 percent chance to score against St. Pauli. He has 28 SCA and 4 GCA in 20 Bundesliga games this season.  

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. 

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• St. Pauli 3.50
• Borussia Dortmund 2.02
• Draw: 3.55

Spread

• St. Pauli 0, +0.5 (2.08)
• Borussia Dortmund 0, -0.5 (1.74)

Total

• Over 2.5, 3 (1.98)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.81)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on October 18 and Borussia Dortmund won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For St. Pauli, Johannes Eggestein has a 33.28 percent chance to score. He averages 1.75 shots overall per sim, 1.22 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.

For Borussia Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy has a 68.32 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 6.27 shots overall per sim, 3.26 shots on goal per and 1.15 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Borussia Dortmund 2.02

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Borussia Dortmund in this one. Average score in simulations is Borussia Dortmund 1.99 to St. Pauli 1.